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NASA Study Finds Solar Activity Has Risen Steadily Since 2008

Researchers interpret the shift as a recovery from a decades-long decline, raising the risk of disruptive space weather for satellites, power grids and future crews.

Overview

  • Published September 8 in The Astrophysical Journal Letters, the NASA-led analysis uses long-term heliospheric records from OMNIWeb Plus anchored by ACE and Wind spacecraft data.
  • From 2008 to 2025, key solar-wind and magnetic measures rose markedly, including speed (~6%), density (~26%), temperature (~29%), thermal pressure (~45%) and magnetic field magnitude (~31%).
  • The authors conclude the Sun is likely rebounding from a roughly 20-year downturn rather than entering a Maunder- or Dalton-like multi-decade minimum.
  • Scientists caution that the underlying drivers of these multi-decade variations remain uncertain even as near-term activity intensifies.
  • NASA and NOAA plan new space-weather missions—IMAP, the Carruthers Geocorona Observatory and SWFO-L1—launching no earlier than Sept. 23 to strengthen monitoring and forecasting.