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Myanmar's Military Faces Major Setbacks After Year of Coordinated Resistance Offensive

A surprise offensive by ethnic militias has significantly weakened the military's control, leading to a humanitarian crisis and potential political fragmentation.

  • The 1027 offensive, launched by the Three Brotherhood Alliance, has resulted in the loss of strategic territories for Myanmar's military.
  • Resistance forces now control a vast horseshoe of territory, forcing the military to retreat towards central Myanmar.
  • Civilian casualties have surged due to increased air and artillery strikes by the military, with millions displaced and in need of aid.
  • China's complex involvement includes mediating ceasefires and attempting to influence both the military and resistance groups.
  • Potential future conflicts among resistance groups could arise if the military regime falls, risking political fragmentation similar to Syria.
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