Particle.news
Download on the App Store

MVP Race Enters Week 18 With Drake Maye Now Favored Over Matthew Stafford

Odds flipped to Maye after Week 17, framing the vote as metrics versus counting stats.

Overview

  • DraftKings lists Drake Maye at -295 and Matthew Stafford at +225 for MVP entering the regular-season finale.
  • Maye leads the league in EPA per play, completion rate (71.7%), QBR (76.5) and passer rating (112.9) while guiding 13-3 New England to the AFC East title.
  • Stafford tops the NFL with 42 touchdown passes and 4,448 yards, though his three-interception loss to Atlanta in Week 17 dented his case.
  • Both quarterbacks downplayed the award discussion this week, with Stafford saying he is not worried about it and Maye crediting team success for his candidacy.
  • Debate over schedule strength and supporting casts persists, as voices from Mike Vrabel’s public backing to Bill Simmons’ analytics-heavy case underscore a two-man race that could be shaped by Week 18 outcomes and final seeding.