Overview

• An Echelon Insights survey conducted July 10–14 shows the America Party at about 5% support, flipping the generic congressional ballot from a 1-point Republican edge to a 4-point Democratic advantage in a three-way contest.
• Elon Musk formally launched the America Party on July 5 with a plan to focus on two to three Senate races and eight to ten House districts where narrow margins could make third-party candidates decisive.
• State election laws in battlegrounds like Michigan, Georgia, North Carolina and Ohio impose rigorous signature and geographic distribution requirements that may block the party from qualifying candidates on key ballots.
• GOP pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson warns that even small defections to the America Party could erase Republicans’ slender midterm lead, while supporters such as Mark Cuban applaud its laser-focused strategy.
• A Quinnipiac University poll finds 49% of registered voters open to any third party but reports that just 17% would join Musk’s America Party and 77% remain unwilling to back it.