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Musk’s America Party Faces Ballot Hurdles While Polls Warn of GOP Spoiler Risk

Stalled FEC certification with stringent petition thresholds raises questions over whether Musk’s financial resources can siphon enough Republican votes to tip the midterms.

US President Donald Trump speaks during a news conference with Elon Musk.
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Elon Musk arrives to speak at a presidential inauguration parade event in Washington, Jan. 20, 2025.

Overview

  • Musk launched the America Party on July 5 after polling his followers on X.
  • The party remains uncertified after an inquorate Federal Election Commission and must meet varied state petition requirements to secure ballot access.
  • Polling by Echelon Insights shows the America Party at 5% on a generic congressional ballot would flip a one-point Republican lead into a four-point Democratic advantage.
  • Republican pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson warns that even a small vote shift to the America Party could erase the GOP’s narrow midterm edge.
  • Political scientists note that Musk’s vast wealth could overcome signature-gathering obstacles but caution that entrenched two-party structures still pose a formidable barrier.