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Musk Tells xAI Staff AGI Could Arrive in 2026, Citing $20–$30 Billion a Year and a GPU Buildout

Accounts of the all-hands portray a bet on outscaling rivals through capital plus compute.

Overview

  • In a recent all-hands, Musk told employees xAI could reach AGI within a few years, possibly as soon as 2026, according to Business Insider.
  • He said xAI would prevail if it survives the next two to three years, casting that window as decisive against OpenAI, Google and Meta.
  • Musk described access to roughly $20–$30 billion per year as a key advantage, alongside a rapid expansion of power and data capacity.
  • xAI has about 200,000 GPUs and plans to scale to 1 million under its Colossus program, with Grok 5 expected in early 2026 after Musk put its AGI odds at 10%.
  • He also floated space-based data centers potentially staffed by Tesla’s Optimus robots, while xAI’s automated reply to Business Insider read, "Legacy Media Lies."