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Musk Sets 10 Billion-Mile Benchmark for ‘Safe Unsupervised’ Tesla FSD

The new metric highlights that raw mileage alone does not make Tesla’s system ready for unsupervised operation.

Overview

  • Elon Musk said on X that roughly 10 billion miles of training data are required to achieve safe unsupervised Full Self-Driving, citing a long tail of real‑world complexity.
  • Tesla’s FSD data totaled about 7 billion miles by late 2025, according to community trackers and the company’s dashboard.
  • Electrek projects Tesla’s fleet could reach 10 billion miles around July 2026, a forecast rather than an official company timeline.
  • Musk previously referenced about 6 billion miles in his Master Plan Part Deux, highlighting a shift in the stated readiness threshold.
  • Even after 10 billion miles, reporting notes Tesla must run large training cycles on Dojo and NVIDIA clusters, perform rigorous validation, address rare edge cases, and navigate regulatory and liability hurdles, while FSD remains a supervised Level 2 system today.