Overview

• The IMD forecasts light to moderate rain for Mumbai and coastal Maharashtra, with a green alert for the city and yellow alerts for Palghar and Thane on Tuesday and Ratnagiri later in the week.
• Western disturbances are expected to boost moisture over the next two days, keeping showers going across the region.
• Monsoon withdrawal from Mumbai and Maharashtra is now expected after about October 15, later than the usual October 8–10 window, according to IMD Mumbai director Bikram Singh.
• Another heavy spell was expected around October 6–7 following recent downpours, per the IMD’s latest guidance.
• Seasonal context shows an unusually early onset on May 26 and more than 3100 mm at Santacruz through September versus a 2319 mm monsoon average.