Overview

• SMN and CONAGUA forecast very intense to intense rainfall of 75–150 mm centered on Oaxaca and Chiapas.
• For Mexico City and the State of Mexico, 25–50 mm is expected to begin broadly around 19:00, with Protección Civil noting possible red alerts and urging preparedness.
• A low‑pressure area south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec is being monitored for potential cyclonic development and is aiding heavy rain in southern states.
• Extreme heat persists in the northwest, with highs of 40–45 °C in Baja California and Sonora and 35–40 °C across multiple additional states.
• Winds of 40–60 km/h are forecast in Baja California and Baja California Sur, with 1–2 m waves along the western Baja California coast and the coasts of Oaxaca and Chiapas, as CNPC reiterates landslide warning signs and evacuation guidance.