Overview
- The U.S. Trade Representative finalized a one-year Section 301–style probe and set a 25% surcharge on many Brazilian products that takes effect on July 22, 2026.
- The tariff list includes wide coverage but exempts key exports such as beef, coffee, orange juice, petroleum and aircraft components, leaving exporters to reassess which shipments will be hit.
- Brasília publicly rejected the USTR findings as political, said it will use the Reciprocity Law at home and will file an appeal at the World Trade Organization to contest the measure.
- The decision has turned into a high-profile domestic political fight, with President Lula and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro blaming each other and polls showing more Brazilians accept Lula’s version of events than Flávio’s.
- Markets reacted quickly as investors repriced risks and the government faces the prospect of further U.S. measures, including a possible additional 12.5% tariff tied to forced-labor claims.