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Muggy Pattern Returns With Afternoon Storms and Midweek Heat

Gulf moisture moving north will raise humidity, fuel scattered afternoon and evening storms, and drive inland highs into the 90s by midweek.

Overview

  • This weekend the weather flipped from a dry stretch to generally muggy conditions with spotty to scattered afternoon and evening showers and storms.
  • Storm placement will vary by neighborhood because diurnal heating drives convective cells and many communities will still see long dry breaks between storms.
  • The Storm Prediction Center and local offices highlighted marginal to slight severe risk in pockets where storms could produce gusty winds, small hail, and heavy downpours.
  • A southward cold front is forecast to bring a brief drop in humidity early next week, then a building ridge will push temperatures into the 90s with heat-index values near or above 100°F midweek.
  • Forecasters are watching tropical and Gulf moisture that could increase late-week rain coverage and flash-flood risk in isolated spots, but model disagreement makes late-week outcomes uncertain.