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Motilal Oswal Turns Overweight on Indian IT as AI Spend Shifts to Services

The brokerage argues that AI budgets are moving from infrastructure to software and services, setting up a multi‑year recovery for Indian vendors.

Overview

  • MOFSL upgraded the sector to Overweight and raised target multiples by about 20%, rolling valuations to FY28 EPS.
  • Infosys, Mphasis and Zensar were lifted to Buy and Wipro to Neutral, with Infosys assigned a Rs 2,150 target based on 26x FY28E EPS.
  • The firm expects revenue momentum to improve in the second half of FY27 and take fuller shape in FY28 as enterprise AI deployments scale.
  • Preferred plays include Hexaware and Coforge among mid‑caps and HCLTech and Tech Mahindra among large caps, citing an AI‑services upcycle.
  • Risks flagged include margin pressure from a higher mix of fixed‑price and outcome‑based work and uncertainty on the exact timing of demand normalization.