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Motilal Oswal Initiates 'Buy' Rating on Radico Khaitan with Rs 3,000 Target

The brokerage projects a 16% revenue CAGR for FY25-28, driven by premiumisation and benefits from the India-UK Free Trade Agreement.

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Overview

  • Radico Khaitan's Prestige & Above (P&A) segment is expected to drive a 16% revenue CAGR over FY25-28, supported by brand expansion and premiumisation efforts.
  • Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd has set a target price of Rs 3,000 for Radico, valuing it at 60x P/E on Jun’27E EPS.
  • The India-UK Free Trade Agreement will reduce customs duties on imported spirits, potentially saving Radico Rs 750 million by FY26.
  • Radico has expanded its footprint to over 100,000 retail outlets and 10,000 on-premise locations, strengthening its market presence.
  • Despite risks like raw material price inflation and state-level excise duty changes, Radico's operational efficiencies and premiumisation strategy are expected to bolster margins and growth.