Overview
- 30-year conforming rates fell roughly 10 basis points last week, reaching as low as 6.53%—their lowest level since early April.
- Refinance applications jumped about 23%, accounting for 46.5% of total mortgage activity, while adjustable-rate loans climbed to nearly 10% share.
- Mortgage purchase applications rose by just 1%, indicating that cheaper borrowing costs have not yet prompted a broader homebuying recovery.
- Stable 2.7% year-over-year inflation and weak July jobs readings boosted market expectations of a September Fed cut, and UK two-year fixed rates dipped below 5% for the first time since the 2022 mini-budget.
- Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas research cautions that most homeowners already hold comparatively low rates and that income gaps and borrower inattention could limit future refinancing gains.