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Mortgage Rates Slide into Mid-6% Range, Driving Refinancing Surge

Bond-market movements rather than Fed policy will determine whether borrowing costs fall further

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Overview

  • The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate fell to a 10-month low, sliding into the mid-6% range.
  • Refinancing share climbed to roughly 42% of mortgage applications, the strongest pace in four weeks.
  • Although traders expect a Fed funds rate cut in September, mortgage rates follow Treasury yields and bond-market spreads rather than the federal funds rate.
  • Industry guidance suggests homeowners with rates above about 6%, particularly 7% or higher, should assess potential savings against closing costs and expected tenure.
  • Reports suggest the Trump administration may pursue a partial IPO of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac while keeping them in conservatorship, and a federal judge has allowed a Mr. Cooper cyberattack class action to proceed.