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Mortgage Rates Hover Near 6% as Fed Expected to Hold and Applications Slip

Recent bond‑market swings lifted the MBA’s 30‑year rate to 6.24%, briefly cooling applications.

Overview

  • Average 30‑year purchase quotes are near 5.99% and 15‑year near 5.37%, leaving multiple options below 6% for qualified borrowers, according to daily trackers.
  • MBA data for the week ending Jan. 23 show total mortgage applications down 8.5% as the 30‑year contract rate rose to 6.24%; refinances fell 16% and purchase applications edged down 0.4%.
  • Markets widely expect the Fed to keep the policy rate at 3.50%–3.75% today, with any near‑term mortgage‑rate moves more likely to follow jobs, inflation data and post‑meeting guidance.
  • Recent trade headlines and international bond volatility pushed 10‑year Treasury yields higher, causing a short‑lived mortgage‑rate jump before easing back toward the low‑6% range.
  • A White House directive for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to buy up to $200 billion in MBS continues to narrow mortgage‑Treasury spreads, supporting lower quotes even as short‑term swings persist.