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Mortgage Rates Edge Up to 6.22% as Markets Weigh Fed Cut, Treasury Swings

Upcoming jobs plus inflation reports could set the direction for mortgage pricing.

Overview

  • Freddie Mac reports the 30-year average at 6.22% versus 6.19% a week earlier, with the 15-year at 5.54% versus 5.44%, both still close to recent lows.
  • The Fed cut its benchmark rate by 25 basis points on Wednesday, with opposing dissents as inflation sits about one point above the 2% target and labor data softens.
  • Treasury yields jumped earlier in the week, then eased after policymakers signaled one more cut in 2026, leaving mortgage rates only modestly higher.
  • Refinance applications rose 14% week over week while purchase applications slipped 2%, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association.
  • Investors are watching next week’s jobs and inflation releases for cues on the next move in Treasury yields and mortgage borrowing costs.