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Bitcoin Holds Near $105,000 as Morgan Stanley Calls It ‘Fall Season’ and Advises Taking Profits

Mixed flows plus a liquidity plateau keep the market boxed between $102,000 support and $107,000 resistance.

Overview

  • U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs logged about $524 million of net inflows on Nov. 11 after roughly $2.8 billion of outflows over the past month.
  • Market-maker Wintermute reports stablecoin balances, ETF demand and digital-asset treasuries have plateaued, pointing to thinner liquidity.
  • On-chain and exchange research shows long-term holders have stepped up distribution to roughly 104,000 BTC per month.
  • Technicians highlight a falling‑wedge pattern with clearance of $106,000–$107,000 needed for a bullish break, while a drop below $100,000 could deepen the correction.
  • Goldman Sachs warned payrolls may have fallen by about 50,000 in October during the data blackout from the shutdown, adding policy and liquidity uncertainty.