Overview
- At least 53 members have said they will not run again, including roughly 30 Republicans and 23 Democrats, marking elevated turnover early in the cycle.
- Democrats cite momentum from recent special and off-year wins, while reporting points to GOP headwinds tied to gridlock, a record shutdown, and President Donald Trump’s weak approval.
- Mid-decade redistricting is reshaping incentives, with Texas singled out as multiple incumbents weigh retirement or other offices after new district lines.
- A notable number of members are pursuing governorships, with 10 Republicans and one Democrat running for governor in 2026, according to WTOP.
- Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene said she will not seek reelection; Raw Story reported she intends to resign on Jan. 5, and Speaker Mike Johnson maintains he expects to keep the GOP’s slim House majority.