Overview
- Two right-wing candidates, Samuel Doria Medina and former president Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga, each lead polls at around 20 percent and look poised to end 20 years of socialist governance.
- Morales is sheltering in his Chapare stronghold to evade arrest on trafficking and sexual abuse charges while directing supporters to spoil or deface ballots under the ‘Nulo’ campaign.
- The ex-president has vowed to lead mass protests if the election outcome stands, warning he will “take the fight to the streets” with his base.
- Under Bolivian law, spoiled and blank ballots are removed from the final tally and cannot trigger a rerun, so a surge in ‘Nulo’ votes has no formal impact on the official result.
- A severe economic crisis marked by acute shortages of dollars, fuel and subsidized staples and inflation nearing 25 percent has eroded support for the ruling MAS party.