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Moody's Urges Japan to Maintain Fiscal Reform Amid Gradual Rate Hikes

Analyst states missing the 2025 budget target won't affect Japan's credit rating if reform commitment persists.

  • Moody's does not expect Japan to meet its fiscal 2025 primary budget-balancing target.
  • Failure to meet the target will not trigger a negative rating action if reform commitments are maintained.
  • The Bank of Japan is expected to take a gradual approach to normalizing interest rates.
  • Japan's public borrowing exceeds twice the size of its economy, the highest among industrialized nations.
  • Fiscal reform has become urgent since the end of Japan's negative interest rate policy in March.
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