Overview
- Moody’s downgraded the U.S. credit rating from Aaa to Aa1, marking the first cut by the agency since 1949 and following earlier downgrades by S&P in 2011 and Fitch in 2023.
- The decision was driven by decades of rising federal debt, now at $36 trillion, and interest costs projected to exceed $1 trillion annually by 2026.
- Market reactions included a spike in 10-year Treasury yields to over 4.5%, signaling higher borrowing costs for the government and consumers.
- The White House dismissed the downgrade as politically motivated, while Congress debates extending the 2017 tax cuts, which Moody’s warns could add $4 trillion to the deficit over a decade.
- Moody’s projects the federal deficit to widen to 9% of GDP by 2035, with debt-to-GDP rising to 134%, underscoring calls for structural fiscal reforms.