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Monsoon Shifts Linked to Over 22 Gt Yearly Ice Loss in High Mountain Asia

Changing rainfall and snowfall patterns are accelerating melt, threatening water supplies for 1.4 billion people.

Overview

  • A peer-reviewed study published Aug. 1 integrates NASA GRACE satellite data with hydrological and meteorological records to link glacier mass change to monsoon seasonality.
  • Central and western Himalaya losses are tied to increased rainfall during typically snow-accumulating summer periods, while eastern Himalaya losses reflect reduced snowfall.
  • Retreat shows repeating 3–4.5 and 5–8 year cycles that align with natural monsoon variability, pointing to predictable swings in melt rates.
  • Researchers warn river systems will transition from melt-driven to rainfall-driven flow, heightening drought risk for downstream communities in South and Central Asia.
  • Accelerated melt increases the likelihood of glacial lake outburst floods and cascading hazards such as landslides and river flooding, prompting calls for denser climate and cryosphere monitoring.