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Monsoon Ends With 8% Surplus in India as IMD Projects Wet October

The season’s gains mask stark regional extremes that left the east and northeast with a deep deficit.

Overview

  • IMD reports 937.2 mm of rainfall against the normal 868.6 mm for June–September, an overall surplus of 8%.
  • Northwest India logged 747.9 mm, 27.3% above normal, the region’s highest monsoon total since 2001.
  • East and northeast India received 1,089.9 mm, about 20% below normal, the second-lowest monsoon rainfall there since 1901.
  • IMD forecasts above-normal rain in October and through the post-monsoon period, with a likely north Bay of Bengal low set to enhance rainfall over West Bengal, Sikkim, Bihar, Jharkhand, Odisha, Vidarbha, Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh from Oct 1–5.
  • Seasonal extremes included cloudbursts, floods and landslides, with reports of over 150,000 people displaced and more than 200 deaths, and market watchers caution that October rains could harm harvest-ready rice, cotton and soybeans.