Overview

• India received 937.2 mm of rain in June–September, about 8% above the long‑period average and the fifth‑highest seasonal total since 2001, according to the IMD.
• Withdrawal that began over northwest India has stalled due to active systems near the Gulf of Kutch and in the Bay of Bengal, with the IMD projecting about 15% above‑normal rainfall nationally in October.
• South Peninsular India is forecast to see above‑normal October–December rainfall (greater than 112% of the seasonal average), even as parts of northwest India are likely to be normal to below normal.
• Rainfall disparities were stark: northwest India was about 27% above normal, central 15% above and the south peninsula 10% above, while the east and northeast received about 80% of normal, the second lowest since 1901.
• The season featured roughly 18 low‑pressure systems over about 69 system‑days and severe impacts, with the IMD citing reports of 1,528 deaths tied mainly to floods and lightning; local updates include Delhi logging October’s average in a single day and Maharashtra expecting above‑normal October rain.