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Modi Heads to China as U.S. Tariffs Hit Indian Exports and Tensions Rise Over Russian Oil

The first China visit in seven years signals a possible recalibration under new tariff pressure from Washington.

Overview

  • President Trump signed a decree on August 6 adding 25% to many Indian export tariffs, with the measures taking effect this week.
  • U.S. leaders accused India of feeding Russia’s war machine through energy purchases, while Russia supplies roughly 18–20% of India’s oil.
  • Analysts say about two-thirds of Indian goods now face higher effective duties, with some rates approaching 50% despite numerous exemptions.
  • Economists warn that workers in textiles, jewelry and engineering face concentrated risks even if the overall macro impact may be limited.
  • Modi will attend the SCO summit in Tianjin on August 31–September 1 to meet Xi Jinping and Vladimir Putin, as India–China ties cautiously thaw and Chinese commentary rejects talk of an anti-U.S. alignment.