Overview
- The Deutscher Wetterdienst reported Wednesday that a north/northwest flow driven by an Azores high to the north and lows over Scandinavia is keeping most of Germany cooler and unsettled for now.
- Short-range forecasts show a rapid warming later this week with the southwest expected to reach about 30–36°C at the weekend and isolated spots possibly hotter.
- Operational models diverge beyond a week: some runs, notably US-model outputs, now calculate a strong heat dome that could push late‑July or early‑August highs toward 40°C or more, while other runs keep a cool, disturbed pattern, and analysts stress this is uncertain.
- Recent showers have given only limited relief to soil moisture because drying winds and shallow rain mean drought conditions persist across large areas.
- If the large‑scale flow flips to a southwesterly pattern in late July, forecasters say Germany would face not only stronger heat but also a higher risk of severe, convective thunderstorms that could end heat spells abruptly.