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Models Signal Mid-November Cold Snap With Snow Risk Focused on Northern UK

Official guidance emphasizes low confidence, with any early snow expected to be limited to Scotland’s higher ground.

Overview

  • WX Charts visualising GFS/Met Desk runs shows a potential wintry spell from roughly November 13 to 17, with the earliest and most persistent signals over Scotland.
  • Some model outputs cited in coverage depict intense bursts of snow at 8–10 cm per hour and prolonged cold, including claims of 66 to 192 hours of freezing conditions.
  • Temperatures in the projections fall to about -5C to -6C in parts of the Highlands, Cumbria and Snowdonia, with the largest accumulations flagged for the Scottish Highlands.
  • Separate maps reported by multiple outlets point to possible Highland totals of roughly 51–56 cm around mid-month, and lighter falls extending at times into Northern Ireland, northern England and North Wales.
  • The Met Office and BBC describe a likely shift to cooler, drier conditions with increased frost risk mid-month and possible hill snow mainly in the north, while a Met Office forecaster says any early snow is most likely confined to Scotland.