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Models Signal Late‑January UK Snow Risk, With Widespread Impacts Possible

National forecasts highlight increased odds of colder conditions later in the month, with timing and severity uncertain.

Overview

  • Recent model runs indicate a potential snow event around 26–28 January affecting Northern Ireland, Scotland, Wales and much of England.
  • Snow‑depth projections show the possibility of heavy local falls, including up to about 79 cm in parts of the Scottish Highlands and around 34 cm in northern England, though these are scenario estimates rather than official warnings.
  • WX Charts output suggests near‑countrywide coverage by early 28 January, with Devon and Cornwall the most likely to miss out according to that single model view.
  • Some forecasters, including Jim Dale of British Weather Services, point to a possible earlier easterly setup around 21 January, noting considerable uncertainty over persistence and snowfall.
  • The Met Office and BBC cite a contest between Atlantic systems and a Scandinavian high in the 19–28 January window, raising the chance of colder, wintry conditions but leaving exact locations and amounts unclear.