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Models Lean Chiefs in Bills–Chiefs Rematch With AFC Playoff Stakes

The loser faces potential playoff slippage depending on Jacksonville's result.

Overview

  • Buffalo enters Week 9 at 5-2 off a 40-9 win, while Kansas City sits 5-3 after recovering from an 0-2 start with Rashee Rice back from suspension.
  • Josh Allen said facing Patrick Mahomes demands his best, while Mahomes lauded Allen’s size, mobility and year-over-year growth.
  • Buffalo managed injuries during the week, with linebackers Terrel Bernard and Matt Milano practicing fully Wednesday as other contributors were held out.
  • ClutchPoints predicted a 34-28 Chiefs victory and projected big production for Josh Allen along with a strong outing from James Cook, framing these as pregame forecasts.
  • A data-driven model from Dimers gave Kansas City a 57% win probability, projected a 26-24 outcome, and identified Under 52.5 as the best bet.