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Models Flag Mid-January UK Storm Bringing Heavy Rain, Strong Winds and Hill Snow

Forecast confidence remains low, with official outlooks flagging unsettled conditions and potential winter hazards.

Overview

  • WXCharts and Metdesk depict a broad west‑to‑east band on Saturday, January 17, with heavy rain across southern and western England and snow over higher ground.
  • Some model outputs indicate snowfall approaching 25 cm on uplands in parts of England, Wales and Scotland, including the Cairngorms, Peak District, Yorkshire Dales and Brecon Beacons.
  • GFS runs reported by local media show the potential for widespread snow reaching the Midlands and southern England, including areas around Birmingham.
  • Localized projections from WX Charts point to around 7.8 cm for Oswestry and 3.6 cm for Wrexham around midday January 17, with a further band possible on January 19.
  • The Met Office long‑range forecast for January 16–25 warns of changeable, unsettled weather, while BBC Weather suggests any lying snow may be limited and short‑lived away from higher ground.