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Models Flag Late-October Cold Snap and Possible Highland Snow as Met Office Urges Caution

High pressure is expected to keep most areas settled for now, and officials say details of any late-month shift remain low confidence.

Overview

  • WXCharts, Met Desk and GFS outputs point to a colder spell between roughly October 22 and 26, with the first snow of the season most likely over high ground in the Scottish Highlands.
  • Several maps indicate potential accumulations around 7cm in places, with some runs showing up to about 10cm near sites such as the Cairngorms and Loch Monar.
  • Model snapshots also show temperatures dipping to around -3C in parts of northwest Scotland around October 23, with sub-zero readings confined mainly to higher elevations and low single digits further south.
  • Locations repeatedly highlighted include Fort William, Portree and Glencoe, with some charts also hinting at isolated flurries over higher ground in northern England and Wales later that weekend.
  • Netweather signals the chance of ‘widespread’ snow limited to the Highlands into Oct 27–Nov 4, while the Met Office and BBC emphasise settled conditions in the near term and a broadly changeable, wetter pattern from late October without a firm snow forecast.