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Models Flag Late-January UK Cold Snap With Possible Jan. 26 Snowstorm

Forecasters highlight model signals for widespread snow, with official guidance still cautioning that details are not yet reliable.

Overview

  • WXCharts using Met Desk and GFS data shows snow spreading from midday on Monday, January 26, with up to around 60cm possible in parts of Scotland and several centimeters in northern England and the Midlands.
  • Projected temperatures on January 26 drop sharply in model runs, reaching about −7°C in central Scotland, around −5°C in Newcastle, and near −2°C in Birmingham and London.
  • Some maps indicate snow potential for dozens of urban areas, including London, Birmingham, Manchester, Newcastle, Edinburgh and Glasgow, though specific amounts remain highly uncertain.
  • The Met Office focuses on nearer-term impacts, issuing a yellow warning for heavy rain and strong winds on Thursday and noting a chance of transient hill snow in the north and west.
  • Long-range outlooks from the Met Office point to a trend toward colder conditions later in January, but emphasize that regional outcomes depend on the battle between Atlantic lows and colder easterly air and that confidence beyond about five days is limited.