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Model Maps Point to Potential Eight-Day Arctic Snap in UK Starting November 15

The Met Office signals a mid-month trend toward cooler, drier conditions with higher frost risk.

Overview

  • WXCharts projections circulated by media depict a November 15–22 cold spell lasting about 192 hours with sub-zero conditions.
  • Temperatures could dip to around −6C, with repeated snowfall shown for Scotland, north-west England, the Midlands and parts of Wales including Cumbria and Snowdonia.
  • The maps visualise GFS-based MetDesk data and represent one plausible scenario rather than an official deterministic forecast.
  • The Met Office outlook for November 11–20 points to a largely unsettled, mostly mild start before a likely cooler phase with more overnight frost and fog.
  • Forecasters note that the timing and severity of any cold spell remain subject to change as model guidance is updated.