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Model Maps Point to Oct. 20–22 Snow Risk in Scottish Highlands

The Met Office urges caution, citing high uncertainty in late‑October details.

Overview

  • WXCharts visualisations using MetDesk’s GEFS indicate the season’s first flurries are possible over the Highlands between October 20 and 22, with the coldest signals along a roughly 169‑mile Inverness‑to‑Glasgow corridor.
  • Charts show limited wintry potential on higher ground in northern England, especially the Pennines between Newcastle and Manchester, while lowland areas such as Edinburgh are flagged for cold rain.
  • Most of southern Britain, Wales, Northern Ireland and Ireland are projected to stay too mild for snow in that window according to the same model outputs.
  • Some projections highlight localized totals near 10 cm in parts of the far north around October 21, with separate model runs extending wintry signals toward October 24–25 and suggesting prolonged flurries in Aberdeenshire.
  • The Met Office long‑range outlook keeps high pressure dominant through October 14–23 before a shift to more changeable, low‑pressure‑led weather from October 24 to November 7, while stressing that specifics on timing and snowfall remain uncertain.