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Model Maps Flag Late-October Snow Risk in Scotland as Met Office Says No Sign Yet

Forecast confidence for any late‑October wintry turn remains low.

Overview

  • WXCharts using MetDesk’s GEFS shows a plausible chance of snow in the Scottish Highlands around October 20–22, with small signals over higher ground in northern England.
  • Further model runs highlight a colder spell around October 25–26, with some outlets citing local Scottish accumulations of roughly 7–10cm, though these figures are provisional.
  • The Met Office states there is currently no indication of snow in its forecast and expects largely settled, high‑pressure conditions through mid‑October.
  • Official long‑range guidance notes greater uncertainty from October 24 to early November, with changeable, low‑pressure‑driven weather more likely and temperatures near seasonal norms.
  • Most southern and lowland areas are projected to stay too mild for snow, with any wintry precipitation—if it occurs—most likely confined to higher terrain in the north.