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Model Maps Flag Late-October Snow Risk, but Met Office Sees No Current Signal

WXCharts visualisations highlight the Scottish Highlands for potential flurries later in October based on GEFS ensembles.

Overview

  • Ensemble outputs point to possible snow in the Scottish Highlands around October 20–22, with a renewed risk over the weekend of October 25–26 that could extend to higher ground in northern England.
  • Some model runs suggest localized accumulations up to about 10 cm in far-northern and highland areas including Inverness, Fort William and Portree.
  • Reports also highlight a colder corridor from Inverness to Glasgow as a focus for flurries, while lower elevations are more likely to see rain.
  • The Met Office says there is currently no indication of unseasonable snow in official forecasts and emphasizes significant uncertainty at this lead time.
  • Official guidance keeps conditions mostly settled through mid-October before turning more changeable from October 24 to November 7 with showers and temperatures near normal.