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Model Forecasts Point to Early-November Arctic Blast in UK, With Possible Mid-Month Blizzard in Scotland

Households are urged to use simple insulation measures to stay warm without turning up the heat.

Overview

  • WXCharts projections indicate temperatures could drop to about -3C from November 4, with snow and rain spreading across much of England, Northern Ireland and Scotland.
  • Up to roughly 3 cm of snow is shown for northern Scotland on November 4, with snow reaching as far south as Leeds and rain around Manchester and Liverpool at about 3 mm per hour.
  • GFS model runs suggest a significant blizzard risk around November 13 focused on northern Scotland, particularly near Inverness, Wick and Aberdeen, with light snow or sleet possible in southern Scotland and northern England including Newcastle and parts of the Pennines.
  • Central and southern areas are depicted as largely cold and dry with only a few coastal showers, while the south of England stays dry but chilly in these model outputs.
  • A flooring expert advises keeping furniture clear of radiators, choosing wool carpets with underlay, layering rugs and throws, using heavy lined curtains and fitting door draught excluders to retain heat without raising thermostats.