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Mobius Reaffirms India Bet After U.S. Tariffs, Predicts Foreign Money’s Return

Mobius says the tariff shock will shave at most 0.75 percentage point from growth.

Overview

  • Mark Mobius calls India the top emerging market and says it will keep outpacing China’s growth.
  • He estimates the new U.S. duties would at most trim 0.5–0.75 percentage point from GDP through weaker exports.
  • He expects foreign investors to resume buying within three to four months after a cautious pullback.
  • He discloses roughly a 20% portfolio allocation to India and flags concentrated pressure in pharmaceuticals, gems and apparel.
  • He argues companies can shift some manufacturing to markets such as Africa, with policy support and a weaker rupee helping cushion exporters.