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MLBTR’s 2026 Arbitration Projections Set Up Tough Tender Calls Before Nov. 22

The projections give front offices a roadmap for payroll choices, roster space pressures, potential arbitration paths.

Overview

  • Clubs face a Nov. 22 non‑tender deadline, with unresolved cases advancing to arbitration hearings in mid‑January.
  • Team rundowns point to likely non‑tenders such as Josh Sborz, Nathaniel Lowe and MJ Melendez, and raise decisions on Nationals infielder Luis García Jr. and starter Jake Irvin.
  • Detroit’s Tarik Skubal is projected at $17.8 million, while Washington cornerstones CJ Abrams and MacKenzie Gore are estimated at $5.6 million and $4.7 million.
  • The Mets list nine eligible players led by David Peterson at $7.64 million, with injured arms Tylor Megill and Reed Garrett among candidates analysts are scrutinizing.
  • One local review flags a potential data issue with Jonathan India’s number, suggesting his 2026 projection should be closer to $9 million than MLBTR’s listed figure.