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MLBTR Releases 2026 Arbitration Projections, Putting Clubs on the Clock

Teams now weigh tenders ahead of a late-November deadline that will lock in 2026 payroll risk.

Overview

  • The Mets have nine arbitration-eligible players projected to cost about $23.45 million, led by David Peterson at $7.64 million, with injured pitchers Tylor Megill and Reed Garrett and infielder Nick Madrigal flagged as non-tender candidates.
  • The Rangers’ nine-player class includes Adolis Garcia at a projected $12.1 million and Jonah Heim at $6 million, with team-focused analysis considering pre-deadline pay-cut agreements or changes at right field and catcher and identifying Josh Sborz as a likely non-tender.
  • Kansas City faces one of the league’s largest arbitration groups at 15 players, with local analysis suggesting Jonathan India’s projection should be closer to $9 million and indicating MJ Melendez and several pitchers as decisions to watch.
  • Nationals coverage highlights debates on tendering Luis Garcia Jr. at a projected $7 million and Jake Irvin at $3.3 million, with catchers Riley Adams and Jorge Alfaro and reliever Mason Thompson noted as potential non-tenders.
  • The non-tender deadline is reported as November 22, and unresolved cases can proceed to January arbitration hearings where an arbitrator selects either the team’s figure or the player’s figure.