MLB Trade Rumors’ 2026 Arbitration Projections Put Tender Calls in Focus

Overview

• The new team-by-team salary estimates, published Oct. 6–7 by MLB Trade Rumors using Matt Swartz’s model, are widely cited for planning payrolls and shaping arbitration strategy.
• Mets coverage tallies nine arbitration-eligible players, with injuries putting Tylor Megill, Reed Garrett, Max Kranick and depth infielder Nick Madrigal under closer non‑tender scrutiny.
• The Royals face one of the largest classes at 15, with local analysis flagging MJ Melendez as a likely non‑tender and noting a possible correction to Jonathan India’s projection to roughly $9 million.
• Notable figures include Detroit ace Tarik Skubal projected at $17.8 million, with the Tigers’ file‑and‑trial stance signaling a willingness to proceed to hearings if deals aren’t reached.
• Option and roster dynamics loom large, exemplified by Milwaukee weighing a $12 million club option on William Contreras versus an $11.1 million projection, with tenders due Nov. 22 and unresolved cases headed for January/February hearings.