MLB Trade Rumors’ 2026 Arbitration Projections Kick Off Offseason Decision Season
Clubs begin parsing Matt Swartz’s estimates to prepare tender choices before the late-November non-tender deadline.
Overview
- MLB Trade Rumors released its Matt Swartz–modeled salary projections, prompting same-day team breakdowns of tender and non-tender scenarios across the league.
- Detroit’s list features one of the biggest projected jumps, with Tarik Skubal estimated at $17.8 million, as first-time arb cases for Riley Greene and Spencer Torkelson also come into focus.
- The Brewers’ seven eligible players are projected around $32 million combined, led by William Contreras at $11.1 million as Milwaukee weighs a separate $12 million club option for 2026.
- Local analyses highlight likely cut candidates, including Rangers reliever Josh Sborz, with the Nationals’ Riley Adams and Jorge Alfaro also flagged despite low figures.
- The Mets count nine cases headlined by David Peterson at about $7.6 million and Francisco Alvarez’s first-time eligibility, while multiple injured arms (Tylor Megill, Reed Garrett, Max Kranick) could shape New York’s tender decisions.