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2w ago

MLB Playoff Picture Tightens Entering September, With Astros Up Two in AL West

Key head-to-head series this week will shape seeding under MLB’s mathematical tiebreaker system.

Image
Ian Happ #8 of the Chicago Cubs hits a three-run home run to tie the game in the eighth inning against the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field on Aug. 31, 2025 in Denver, Colorado. (Photo by Justin Edmonds/Getty Images)
Adapted by Kurt Wasemiller (@kurt_player02 on Instagram & Threads @kuwasemiller.bksy.social on BlueSky)

Overview

  • MLB.com’s latest snapshot has the Tigers, Blue Jays and Astros leading the AL and the Brewers, Phillies and Dodgers atop the NL entering Monday.
  • The AL East gap is three games after Toronto’s win, with Yankees–Blue Jays set for the weekend to influence both the division and tiebreakers.
  • Houston holds a two-game edge on Seattle and hosts the Yankees this week before a Sept. 19-21 Mariners series that will decide their head-to-head tiebreaker.
  • In the NL, the Dodgers lead the Padres by two, Milwaukee hosts Philadelphia in a top-of-the-table set, and the Mets hold a four-game cushion over the Reds for the final Wild Card.
  • Since 2022, ties for divisions, berths and seeds are settled by head-to-head and other formulas, with Wild Card Series starting Sept. 30 and Division Series on Oct. 4.