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Miyares Leads Virginia AG Race by 8 Points as Jones’ 2022 Texts Define Final Stretch

The latest Roanoke College survey shows widespread awareness of the messages alongside a late advantage for the incumbent.

Overview

  • Roanoke College’s Oct. 22–27 poll of 1,041 likely voters finds Jason Miyares ahead of Jay Jones 46% to 38% with a weighted margin of error of 4.05%.
  • Eighty percent of respondents had heard about Jones’ 2022 texts that imagined shooting then–House Speaker Todd Gilbert and harming his family.
  • Miyares told Newsmax his reelection is a “referendum on decency” and said the messages should disqualify Jones from serving as the state’s top prosecutor.
  • Jones acknowledged and apologized for the texts as a “grave mistake” and argued Miyares failed to bring cases against President Trump and his administration.
  • Among early voters who had already backed Jones, 87% said they would have voted for him regardless, and the poll’s analysis says Miyares now narrowly leads independents.