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Milei's Bloc Wins Decisive Midterm, Flips Buenos Aires Province and Gains Clout in Congress

The upset result strengthens Milei's hand to press tax and labor overhauls after the new Congress convenes in December.

Overview

  • La Libertad Avanza captured roughly 40–41% of the vote, prevailed in 16 of 24 provinces, and took the pivotal Buenos Aires province from the Peronists.
  • Seat gains in the Chamber and Senate leave Milei short of a single-party majority but with greater leverage to pass legislation via deals with centrists and PRO allies.
  • Markets surged after the vote, with dollar-linked bonds up as much as 25% and some U.S.-listed Argentine stocks jumping up to 50%.
  • The United States publicly backed the government, with Trump offering congratulations and reports citing a roughly $40 billion U.S. support package.
  • Supporters credit austerity for bringing inflation near 30%, yet Milei still faces corruption probes, low turnout signaled voter disillusion, and 2026 financing risks loom as a cabinet reshuffle is expected after December 10.