Overview
- Multiple May surveys show La Libertad Avanza and Javier Milei ahead in candidate and party measures even as a plurality of respondents say they would choose an opposition option overall.
- Pollsters report a pause or slight rebound in Milei’s approval in May that many link to a slowdown in monthly inflation and renewed government message control.
- Management & Fit and other firms record high government disapproval and a rising negative image for Milei, with cited figures near 58% disapproval and more than 50% negative image in some polls.
- Cross‑tab analysis by Equipo Mide and reporting by Clarín estimate roughly 20% of Milei’s 2023 voters now feel disenfranchised, a loss media calculations translate to about 1.5 million fewer 'votos propios'.
- Polls also show Milei picking up voters from former Patricia Bullrich supporters, leaving him with a firm base in the mid‑20s and a probable ceiling in the high‑30s, which makes his lead sizable but politically fragile depending on the economy and campaign dynamics.