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Micron Rides AI Memory Boom as HBM Capacity Books Out Through 2025

Analysts cite a $6 billion HBM run rate with tightening supply ahead of Micron’s Sept. 23 earnings report.

Overview

  • Micron shares have climbed roughly 80% in 2025 to near record highs, reflecting surging demand tied to AI infrastructure.
  • Citi lifted its price target to $175 and reiterated a Buy rating, pointing to stronger data‑center DRAM demand and constrained output.
  • The company’s HBM supply for 2025 is fully allocated, with expansion plans targeting roughly 20%–25% market share by year‑end 2025.
  • HBM’s manufacturing requires about three times the wafers of standard DRAM, reinforcing supply bottlenecks as Micron supplies Nvidia’s Blackwell and AMD’s Instinct platforms.
  • Micron reports fiscal Q4 on Sept. 23 with anticipated adjusted EPS of $2.62 and revenue of $11.2 billion, as investors weigh risks from SK Hynix’s HBM lead and memory cyclicality.