Overview
- A July NRSC memo shows Rep. Haley Stevens leading the Democratic primary with 24 percent support among likely voters, followed by Abdul El-Sayed at 22 percent and Mallory McMorrow at 11 percent, while over 40 percent remain undecided.
- Fundraising reports for the second quarter reveal Stevens collected $2.5 million—including a $1.2 million transfer from her House account—McMorrow raised $2.1 million and El-Sayed secured $1.8 million.
- El-Sayed has reaffirmed his pledge to refuse all PAC contributions, emphasizing a campaign financed exclusively by small-dollar donations.
- General election projections rate the Michigan Senate contest a toss-up, with former Rep. Mike Rogers positioned as the Republican nominee after his narrow 2024 Senate defeat.
- The outcome of Michigan’s open Senate race could determine control of the chamber and influence legislation requiring a 60-vote filibuster threshold.