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Micah Parsons Returns to Dallas as Packers Enter SNF Favored Over Cowboys

Model-driven betting points to a Packers edge with Jordan Love projected below 234.5 passing yards.

Overview

  • Kickoff is 8:20 p.m. ET at AT&T Stadium, with Green Bay priced around -6.5 to -7 and totals near 46.5–47.5 across sportsbooks.
  • Dimers’ simulations give Green Bay a 69% win probability and a projected 26-20 score, with Cowboys +7 rated the best bet and a slight lean to the under.
  • SportsLine’s machine-learning model recommends Jordan Love under 234.5 passing yards, projecting 187.6, noting he has stayed under that mark in two of three games this season and five of his last six.
  • Anytime TD prop picks highlighted by SportsLine include Josh Jacobs and Tucker Kraft for Green Bay and George Pickens for Dallas, with CeeDee Lamb sidelined by an ankle injury that could elevate other Cowboys pass-catchers.
  • The matchup doubles as Parsons’ first game back in Dallas after a preseason trade to Green Bay reportedly cost two first-round picks and Kenny Clark, adding a prominent reunion storyline to a primetime betting market that favors the Packers.